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This paper examines climate-related security risks in the IGAD region with a particular focus on National Adaptation Planning (NAP). It explores these risks from four pathways contained in the IGAD Conceptual Framework for climate-security nexus, namely: threats to food and water security, climate-induced mobility, historical grievances and cultural practices, and governance and fragility.   Read more here

Gauging the community perceptions of displacement, categorisation and durable solution, the report argues that humanitarian categorisation based on places of origin has led to the exclusion of some IDPs from assistance. The report also concludes that most IDPs associated the end of their IDP status with factors, such as ability to secure self-reliance, land, housing and property accessibility; peaceful co-existence and return to places of origin. Finally, the report provides a set of recommendations on…

This report presents the findings of a study commissioned by FAO, IGAD CEWARN, IGADCBDFU and Interpeace, undertaken between November 2021 and April 2022, and aimed at analysing resource-based in the Karamoja Cluster. The report provides a conflict analysis of the border area spanning across Ethiopia, Kenya, South Sudan, and Uganda, and identifies key drivers of violence – including competition over access to pasture, water, cattle rustling. These drivers are also exacerbated by climate change, unemployment,…

This Weekly Review provides an assessment of South Sudan’s National Elections Act, 2023. At only 14 months (at the time of writing) await from the election’s planned date, the Review analyses the National Elections Act (Amendment 2023) passed by the Revitalized National Legislature, its merits and shortcomings. Lastly, the Review provides a series of policy recommendations aimed at supporting the operationalisation of the Act. Read more here

Though elections are now postulated for next year, South Sudan remains in crisis. Conflict continues to scar the country, and climatic shocks exacerbate already acute resource scarcity, leaving approximately 76 per cent of South Sudan’s population surviving on humanitarian assistance. The regime of South Sudanese President Salva Kiir survives by diverting revenues in three key areas—oil production, humanitarianism, and loans from international financial institutions—to the benefit of an elite class in Juba, but at the…

Focusing on the governor of Western Bar El Ghazel state, Sarah Cleto, this Situation Update discusses successes and challenges of her administration. Despite her grassroots popularity, members of the opposition are calling for her removal. Attempts to replace Cleto, however, have been stalled by internal power struggles—highlighting the complexities of Western Bahr el Ghazal’s ethnic politics. Read here

This report is a new Situation Update from the Small Arms Survey’s Human Security Baseline Assessment for Sudan and South Sudan (HSBA) project. It discusses Nguen Monytuil Wejang’s reign (one of the longest serving governors in South Sudan), its violence, and its attempts to control both populations and humanitarian resources. Read more here

Despite many high-profile interventions, Abyei remains mired in a violent impasse. Conflict between the Ngok and Twic Dinka continues, and the territory’s political future remains in limbo. Attacked from Both Sides: Abyei’s Existential Dilemma—a new Situation Update from the Small Arms Survey’s Human Security Baseline Assessment for Sudan and South Sudan (HSBA) project—discusses the causes for the deadlock surrounding this politically fractured territory, and the catastrophic effect conflict has on its civilians.   Read more…

With governance increasingly regarded as co-governance, states’ capacity to steer, correct, and discipline a wide range of self-governing actors becomes crucial for states’ effectiveness, efficiency, and democracy. This article investigates that capacity and the relationship between formal institutions and customary self-governance in areas of limited statehood. In South Sudan, the field of land governance can be regarded as an area of limited statehood. As land relations are closely connected to clan structures and intra-familial relationships,…

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