This report (1 of a series of 3) provides an analysis of the key actors in the Juba Peace Agreement (JPA). The negotiations for the JPA started in September 2019 in the South Sudanese capital by representatives of Sudan’s new civilian-military transitional government and a collection of Sudan’s armed and civilian opposition groups comprising the Sudanese Revolutionary Front (SRF). The initial agreement was reached in August 2020, with the official signing taking place on October…
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CSRF Research Repository
The CSRF Research Repository aims to support greater contextual knowledge for policy makers, programme managers, and implementers by providing a searchable repository of research, analysis, and resources, and providing periodic updates on new research and analysis.
This Briefing Paper from the Small Arms Survey’s Human Security Baseline Assessment for Sudan and South Sudan (HSBA) project—analyses the components of Rin Tueny’s, current Lakes State Governor, ‘inclusive deterrence’ approach in Lakes state, South Sudan, and its blind spots. The report finds that, since assuming office in 2021, the governor has largely succeeded in reducing the level of crime and violence, as such the paper also discusses the possibility of this approach being institutionalized…
This paper examines climate-related security risks in the IGAD region with a particular focus on National Adaptation Planning (NAP). It explores these risks from four pathways contained in the IGAD Conceptual Framework for climate-security nexus, namely: threats to food and water security, climate-induced mobility, historical grievances and cultural practices, and governance and fragility. Read more here
Gauging the community perceptions of displacement, categorisation and durable solution, the report argues that humanitarian categorisation based on places of origin has led to the exclusion of some IDPs from assistance. The report also concludes that most IDPs associated the end of their IDP status with factors, such as ability to secure self-reliance, land, housing and property accessibility; peaceful co-existence and return to places of origin. Finally, the report provides a set of recommendations on…
This report presents the findings of a study commissioned by FAO, IGAD CEWARN, IGADCBDFU and Interpeace, undertaken between November 2021 and April 2022, and aimed at analysing resource-based in the Karamoja Cluster. The report provides a conflict analysis of the border area spanning across Ethiopia, Kenya, South Sudan, and Uganda, and identifies key drivers of violence – including competition over access to pasture, water, cattle rustling. These drivers are also exacerbated by climate change, unemployment,…
This Weekly Review provides an assessment of South Sudan’s National Elections Act, 2023. At only 14 months (at the time of writing) await from the election’s planned date, the Review analyses the National Elections Act (Amendment 2023) passed by the Revitalized National Legislature, its merits and shortcomings. Lastly, the Review provides a series of policy recommendations aimed at supporting the operationalisation of the Act. Read more here
Though elections are now postulated for next year, South Sudan remains in crisis. Conflict continues to scar the country, and climatic shocks exacerbate already acute resource scarcity, leaving approximately 76 per cent of South Sudan’s population surviving on humanitarian assistance. The regime of South Sudanese President Salva Kiir survives by diverting revenues in three key areas—oil production, humanitarianism, and loans from international financial institutions—to the benefit of an elite class in Juba, but at the…
Focusing on the governor of Western Bar El Ghazel state, Sarah Cleto, this Situation Update discusses successes and challenges of her administration. Despite her grassroots popularity, members of the opposition are calling for her removal. Attempts to replace Cleto, however, have been stalled by internal power struggles—highlighting the complexities of Western Bahr el Ghazal’s ethnic politics. Read here
This meta-analysis provides an overview of the literature available on South Sudan’s regional dynamics. Covering the 2011-2023 period, it explores the relations between South Sudan and its neighbors and the related political, economic and security implications. It provides a selection of relevant publications and extracts some of the most salient questions for donor-funding programming on these topics.
This article investigates contestations over the roles and legitimacy of gangs within the United Nations Mission in South Sudan (UNMISS) Protection of Civilians (PoC) site in Bentiu, South Sudan. Drawing on qualitative interviews, it argues that ‘gangs’ represented the medium through which everyday struggles and processes of social contestations were negotiated between youth, elders, and protection actors. Prevailing narratives of gangs as violent criminal entities structured conflict with elders and protection actors, but to their…
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